PULWAMA GAMECHANGER

Dear Earthlings,


Pulwama terrorist attack has left much of India in shock.  Most Indians want revenge.  TV anchors play on people's sentiments and demand some kind of action, but none of them wants to elaborate on the matter.  The jingoistic approach of most TV stations is for their own commercial benefit.  Hardly anyone of them is focusing on the Islamic angle.


Even military experts rant repeatedly about what we did in 1971, often contributing to much mirth amongst Pakistani jihadis.  Much has been said about two front war, but the fact is we cannot even face one front war.  The spectre of two front war has only been used to make costly purchases with no coordination between different wings of the military.  The sole purpose has been to grease the palms of our ex-generals who increasingly like their political masters have developed an appetite for corruption.


The military experts seem to be working for some arms lobby or other, precluding any chance of them strategizing from the Indian threat perception point of view.  People had a lot of expectations from 56" Modi, but increasingly, Modi's call for action seems to be as hollow as "mandir wahi banayenge."  When he says that he has given a free hand to the army, it feels as if now it is the army's headache.  When world over, it is the navy and airforce, which are playing increasing role in combat, it is still our IInd world war vintage army that is the mainstay of defence.


The very minimum fallout of the Pulwama attack should be that Indian intellectuals should vote with their feet to kick out the conman Modi from power if he fails to be true to his word yet again.  The Indian navy is about 4-5 times the size of the Pakistan navy.  In spite of having such overwhelming advantage, and such costly purchases like the Barak missile, the P8I, the Scorpene, the Vikramaditya, etc, if we cannot use it to our advantage, then the question is WHAT FAVORABLE RATIO WOULD DO THE TRICK?


Modi, in contrast to Nehru, seems to be interested in an all-aligned policy, open market for everybody and unwilling to displease anybody.  Today, I am putting my neck out to offer a course of action to break away from the shackles that have been imposed on us by our nonperforming leaders, bureaucrats and diplomats.  I fear that the Indian response is curtailed not from within but by various lobbyists working for various foreign powers.


Every time, there is cross border firing, we blow up a few bunkers across the line of control.  Why cannot the Indian navy attack and destroy 4 Pak naval ships for 4 buses destroyed during Pulwama attack?  In 1971, our navy raided Karachi port, why cannot we repeat such raids on Gwadar port in support of Balochis against Pak terror.  A raid is not a war.  We attack and retreat.  Will Pakistan attack Mumbai and Kandla in return?  Then that will give us an opportunity to destroy the Pak navy which is the smallest arm of the Pak forces.


Why do not we target Pak cargo vessels to compensate our soldiers killed in daily encounters?  Our politicians think that politics is about sloganeering.  It is time to change their perception.  From now on, NO POLITICIAN WITHOUT AN ANTITERROR POLICY SHOULD BE ELECTED TO POWER.  If the Pak navy is weakened, it will create more opportunities for us to make further penetrative strikes from the Pakistan coastline.


Wars are won when you make surprise moves which catch your opponent off guard.  Look how MBS gave a 20 billion dollar loan to Pakistan, but the only moves that Modi can make are with his 56" tongue.  Why did not he ask for advance emergency delivery of  S400 missiles from Russia?  If Russia cannot make an emergency delivery, then why did not he ask at least two batteries of S400 missiles on lease for 3 months?  Within 3 months, the whole Pak airforce could be finished if we but had the intent.  If not why did he not make emergency buys of two additional batteries of second-hand S400 missiles at half price?


If Modi made these moves, we could change the outcome of this brewing confrontation in days.  But Modi is too preoccupied with winning the next elections.  As the public slowly begins to forget, Modi will try to bluff his way by making growling noises or at the most try to hit some camps across the border in POK and sell it as proof of his indomitable will to the largely ignorant Indian masses.


Today, we are losing, because our leaders are busy fighting elections and nothing else.  Our overrated diplomats are busy practising peace duets.  Why cannot they sell this simple deal to Putin?  Does Putin think that he can beat the US and the Chinese bid at the Pak-taliban auction?  A Pakistan with a weak navy and airforce will be more amenable to Russian leverage.  A Syria-like intervention is offering itself on a platter.  The Russians and the Indians should be planning for regime change in Pakistan.  And what do we do?  Just standby and let the Taliban become the heroes.


Cannot we see regime change in Pakistan will have such a profound reorientation of the whole global calculus?  Putin can ease the pressure off Venezuela by a simple move in Pakistan.  An already clueless Trump will be begging for answers, but our diplomats are snoring in their blazers.  Bang! Bang! Bang! This is one gamechanger we just cannot afford to miss.


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